At the grocery store. Because someone scanned the bar code on your carton of milk. (View Post)

More than just correspondance: see Blair's pilgrimage to Murdoch. The one area where Lowe does need to be *slightly* careful, though, is to make sure he's disclosing all his Twitter/X earni… (View Post)

I think this implies victory by about eight to ten percentage points, given the possibility of (a) materially inaccurate polling data and/or (b) events. (View Post)

It's two separate bets. Basically, one is buying Labour 50-55% (7/2), 55-60 (12/1), and Reform to win (6/1). If we convert them into probabilities, we're talking about almost exactly a 50% … (View Post)

On topic, @TheScreamingEagles is correct. However, I think the *really* smart bet is on: (a) Labour to win more than 50% of the vote. and (b) Reform to win. My rationale is that there's a hell o… (View Post)