See my post at 4:30pm. Contrary to what she appears to be claiming, Badenoch did NOT succeed Mordaunt as equalities minister. She succeeded Baroness Williams of Trafford as Minister for Equalities. M… (View Post)

Badenoch did not succeed Mordaunt as equalities minister, nor did Truss (who, according to some reports I have seen, claimed she did in the debate). Mordaunt was Minister for Women and Equalities fro… (View Post)

I'm comparing with his earlier prediction for the entire contest which had the second round as: Sunak 113 Mordaunt 67 Truss 55 Tugendhat 50 Badenoch 37 Braverman 36 https://twitter.com/patrickjfl/sta… (View Post)

There seems to be some dodgy maths on this thread. Compared to last round: Mordaunt +16 Truss +14 Sunak +13 Badenoch +9 Tugendhat -5 Braverman -5 Compared to the prediction by Patrick Flynn of Smarke… (View Post)

This is the wrong question. The much publicised 6% conviction rate refers to reported rapes that result in a conviction for rape. The conviction rate for cases that get to court is higher than for ma… (View Post)