Yes, I think that if you are voluntarily behaving more cautiously than national guidance or rules it's important to set yourself points when you review and reassess the situation. My next one is… (View Post)

It certainly *looks* a bit ropy, but I think it depends a lot on the numbers and on the context and explanations that I assume will go along with them. For instance the Warwick PDF specifically notes… (View Post)

Looks like a classic "provide three options to steer the decision-maker towards choosing the middle one" to me... there's no way they expect the government to ever pick the three-month… (View Post)

In theory one could have a game-theory style loop, where delta wins in an all-original-strain environment, omicron beats delta, and original-strain dominates in an all-delta environment, I suppose, b… (View Post)

I feel like you're arguing at cross purposes here and maybe it would help if you were more precise about what you mean by "severe" here. You seem to me to be confusing (a) whether a di… (View Post)