pm215
-
Re: Next week things can only get better for Sunak or worse – politicalbetting.com
Wow. That's two big political events this month where my predictions were totally wrong (I expected an autumn UK election and a hung jury in the Trump trial). Still just time to fit in a third :-) (View Post)1 -
Re: The Swinney slump doesn’t look like stopping – politicalbetting.com
Yeah, if your model is telling you "29 tory seats" you should be suspecting "model has been pushed outside its valid range" rather than "historically unprecedented wipeout in… (View Post)2 -
Re: Polling errors – politicalbetting.com
I think it is not so much the train retrofitting and more having to retrofit the whole railway network. In this case the problem was failure to slow down enough before the red signal, so you would ne… (View Post)2 -
Re: Polling errors – politicalbetting.com
Drivers having route restrictions isn't bizarre -- it's necessary for safety, because you need to be able to anticipate what's coming up, know the braking points, and so on. So drivers can only drive… (View Post)2 -
Re: It has been an inauspicious start to the campaign for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
One of the things Kwarteng said in his interestingly frank interview with Stewart & Campbell was (if I remember correctly) that Truss wasn't interested in suggestions to pause/slow down/reassess … (View Post)3