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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How long before Johnson’s “should” wear masks become a legal r
Think of it as a kind of "risk budget" -- say going down the pub has a risk of 4 (utterly arbitrary numbers for sake of example), and going down the local shop without a mask a risk of 2. S… (View Post)3 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can Johnson raise the Tories’ game above Easy mode? Can Labour
It does seem like it would have been an easier 'sell' to frame it as "we can start to open up and do more things, and the tradeoff is that we'll all have to wear masks in most pub… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Finding the right frontrunner. Mixed messages from the Lib Dem
The Brexit referendum result suggests that it's more effective if you start rallying public support for your cause well before the referendum is officially declared (as UKIP did), rather than le… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Perhaps pollsters should start weighting for those who have ha
Maybe I'm misreading it, but that tweet doesn't seem to be saying children have lower infectivity -- it just says they're more likely to be asymptomatic. So a child could catch covid a… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the daily death rate edges closer to 1,000 YouGov finds str
But it's always the case that events come along that the government must react to which nobody foresaw and which were mentioned in no manifesto, even if they're usually not as all-consuming… (View Post)2
