Looks like a classic "provide three options to steer the decision-maker towards choosing the middle one" to me... there's no way they expect the government to ever pick the three-month… (View Post)

In theory one could have a game-theory style loop, where delta wins in an all-original-strain environment, omicron beats delta, and original-strain dominates in an all-delta environment, I suppose, b… (View Post)

I feel like you're arguing at cross purposes here and maybe it would help if you were more precise about what you mean by "severe" here. You seem to me to be confusing (a) whether a di… (View Post)

This doesn't match my observations and anecdotal reports (Cambridge area). In late November when bookings opened for 40+ it was pretty much impossible to book an appointment unless you were prep… (View Post)

Anything is possible, I guess -- we could get mutations to increased lethality starting from any variant. But AIUI omicron's increased transmissibility and reduced lethality derive from the same… (View Post)