pm215
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Re: The voters think 2022 will be Boris Johnson’s annus horribilis – politicalbetting.com
That is nuts. I bet it doesn't even stop the inconsiderate idiots it's theoretically trying to target. My take is that regardless of mode of transport there will always be a handful of arse… (View Post)1 -
Re: The voters think 2022 will be Boris Johnson’s annus horribilis – politicalbetting.com
Yes, I think that if you are voluntarily behaving more cautiously than national guidance or rules it's important to set yourself points when you review and reassess the situation. My next one is… (View Post)1 -
Re: All I want for Christmas is new (platforms to bet on) – politicalbetting.com
It certainly *looks* a bit ropy, but I think it depends a lot on the numbers and on the context and explanations that I assume will go along with them. For instance the Warwick PDF specifically notes… (View Post)1 -
Re: All I want for Christmas is new (platforms to bet on) – politicalbetting.com
Looks like a classic "provide three options to steer the decision-maker towards choosing the middle one" to me... there's no way they expect the government to ever pick the three-month… (View Post)1 -
Re: The Johnson 2022 exit betting gets tighter – politicalbetting.com
In theory one could have a game-theory style loop, where delta wins in an all-original-strain environment, omicron beats delta, and original-strain dominates in an all-delta environment, I suppose, b… (View Post)1
