Hard to say, but the exit poll has been reliable before, and *IF* there's a post-work rush I doubt that this is the first time it's happened. (View Post)

Whatever model underlies the exit poll (which IIRC has been done by the same people since 2005) must have worked successfully on previous occasions using such data. Going to the same geographical loc… (View Post)

If they're sampling in the same places and at the same times as they've done on all previous iterations of the exit poll, then it's possible they may know something about how the turnout is this time… (View Post)

OK. Magnetic sticky map for the constituencies. Plot table with rakes for little statuettes of prominent Tories, to be ceremonially removed as they get beaten. (View Post)

Since we're filling the time with pointless speculation, I have a theory. Most Con voters, wavering or otherwise, are likely to be elderly, and they're not going to suddenly decide to go out en masse… (View Post)