Surprise surprise, Con doing worse and Ref better in regions that voted Leave. Reform apparently doing much more damage to the Government up North than down South (though they're advancing everywhere… (View Post)

Too early to say. We've had two results where the Tories have done less badly than expected according to the exit poll, but these are Labour holds not Con defences. Let's see if they've done less bad… (View Post)

Curtice: *Labour numbers in line with exit poll *Reform a little less than expected *Tory less bad than expected Matter of fine details rather than major issues with the model Turnout is down (View Post)

And here goes Andrea Leadsom, we lost because we're not right wing enough. Entirely predictable. (View Post)

How on Earth are the Tories meant to get sackloads of votes back from pissed off Reform voters in the North, and recover heavy losses to the Liberal Democrats in the South, AT THE SAME TIME? Answers … (View Post)