The betting market is at last becoming more convinced of a Tory Majority. Betfair Exchange which has gyrated been within a couple of points of 1.40 (or 2/5) seemingly for weeks now, finally made a br… (View Post)

True enough, but the problem is that 326 seats is nowhere near enough to see them safely through a 5 year Parliament, as indeed just the past two yeas have shown. In order to be reasonably comfortabl… (View Post)

Surely, David's piece contains sufficient caveats and what-ifs to allow adequate provision for a GE result other than that now widely forecast. As the harbinger of bad news for the Tories last time, … (View Post)

Surely, implementing the boundary changes must be an absolute priority if only to demonstrate that Parliament takes our democracy seriously. Such changes are now approximately EIGHT YEARS overdue whi… (View Post)

Yes, many thanks for the MRP link - lots of great information. Like for example here are the 12 seats where the Tories are currently shown as having at least a 75% chance of winning and where their b… (View Post)