I have been severely burned by US primary/caucus predictions in the past, so I find myself rather nervous about making a prediction. But whatever, it’s PB, so I’ll give it my best shot. Trump will wi… (View Post)

OTOH, if you’re a GOP primary voter and you’re not voting for Trump already, does that not give a smidgeon of doubt that those voters will move into his camp? If you’re not backing him when he looks … (View Post)

I agree. To be clear, I am not running any kind of narrative that I think Davey is any more culpable than a lot of politicians over the years, of all party colours. However, he has unfortunately (for… (View Post)

I’ve been waiting for 2 for what feels like eons now. It would be good to hear more concrete proposals from Labour. My fear is that it isn’t really coming - they’re hoping mood music and anti Tory se… (View Post)

Absolutely. The breathless “what-iffery” regarding Biden’s candidacy makes little sense now. He is running and the deadlines have passed. Absent a severe health crisis which forces him to withdraw, o… (View Post)