Do I think he should be favourite to be next PM? No. Do I think there is a path to him becoming next PM? Yes. The big question is what people will think of Labour in 2028/2029. (View Post)

Genuine question, how do you see that issue cooling down in the next 5 years? I simply cannot. (View Post)

The Tories can win without the red wall, but they need a message that resonates with a number of people they’ve pushed away from in recent years. Essentially, the professional classes, business owner… (View Post)

The government’s hand might be forced long before then if the Trump presidency does play hardball on trade and defence. The government may have to confront the elephant in the room that has been wait… (View Post)

Yes it feels like it’s going to be like this for a while at least. The big question is whether Reform will manage keep up the momentum to surge into the lead in 2025, and if so whose vote they’ll can… (View Post)