Labour have won. And in all likelihood will win a supermassive landslide. But there’s still a huge amount of uncertainty in this election. 1. How low will the Tories go? 2. Can the Tories cling to 15… (View Post)

Skimmed the manifesto. A lot of well meaning stuff but not a tremendous amount of concrete proposals. I have to say I’m rather disappointed, I hoped that there might be a bit more meat put on the bon… (View Post)

Im not convinced Labour have braced the country for what to expect here. They’re playing a decent electoral game but not a great expectations management game. To their credit most of the parties in 2… (View Post)

Frankly while they enjoy a gap of over 20% over their nearest rival they won’t be particularly perturbed. If the Tories pulled it back a little and we saw something like 38/28 then yes there would be… (View Post)

It is absolutely bonkers that, 3 weeks out, I could really see results as wild as something like 35 LAB / 22 REF / 15 LD / 15 CON, or something like 40 LAB/ 29 CON / 10 REF / 10 LD. And I have absolu… (View Post)