Yep. As others have said, fieldwork is far too long. I’m ignoring this one. (View Post)

im not tremendously convinced that the electorate are particularly worried about the size of the Labour majority. I think everyone expects them to get 4/5 years of having a go (and sod seat counts) a… (View Post)

My gut says to lay REF this week as it’ll be the high water mark. But I started this election expecting the Tory vote to firm up and REF to fall back. And I kept expecting it; and kept expecting it; … (View Post)

That’s a good gain for REF with only part of the fieldwork after their policy launch. Hmm. (View Post)

All this is completely predicated on how well Reform do at this election. At the moment, that feels very much up in the air. (View Post)