numbertwelve
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Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
Thanks for the correction. (View Post)1 -
Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
I agree. I genuinely can’t see a Trump route now after digesting the state of GA and PA counts. (View Post)1 -
Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
They are not projecting the confidence of winners. I strongly suspect they know they have lost PA and with it any chance of a comeback through AZ and/or NV. GA is interesting - looks to slightly favo… (View Post)1 -
Re: The betting at 1136 GMT Nov 4th 2020 – politicalbetting.com
Also, the margin is such that a recount is very very unlikely to shift the result to Trump. Maybe a few hundred votes here or there. But not overturning tens of thousands. (View Post)1 -
Re: The betting at 1136 GMT Nov 4th 2020 – politicalbetting.com
The system is designed to be inherently conservative. However it does suppose a degree of government by consensus which doesn’t reflect the current American political culture. Conversely you could ar… (View Post)2