They might not have been, but their backers might. I think you’re underestimating the Machiavellian tendencies of the Tories also by the way… Badenoch isn’t going to want her first year or two in off… (View Post)

I’ve found price of most Premier Inns has really gone up in last 5 or so years. Before that you had a decent chance of getting a very reasonable rate, now I think there can be little cost difference … (View Post)

As we are doing US predictions, I will do mine. Drumroll please… Harris: 302 Trump: 236 Harris takes WI, MI, PA, NC and GA Trump takes NV and AZ. Some further thoughts: - the rust belt will end up no… (View Post)

Well, yes, that’s fair: though I’d love a national one (or, you know, someone being brave on Pennsylvania for instance). (View Post)

I have found Silver a bit unconvincing since 2016. He explained away the 2016 result as being that his model wasn’t wrong, it was just that it predicted Clinton had a circa 75% chance of winning and … (View Post)