I think it helps the Tories, weirdly, too. I still think it requires a lot to go right for them, in the next 24 months or so, but there's a chance it looks like the incompetent old guard have deserte… (View Post)

My view - Badenoch possibly. Starmer probably not. He's got at least another 18 months yet I'd say. (View Post)

I still think he’ll “retire” in 2027 if the polling continues to be bad. (View Post)

I am still not convinced by this theory. At the moment the next GE looks to be shaping up as a fight between lots of parties that each have large numbers of opponents. But one of them has got to win.… (View Post)

The problem for Labour is the politics of all this. Economically, if we need tax rises it’s far better to rip the band aid off and go for the biggies like IT rather than tinkering round the edges and… (View Post)