I will have to try and find the post where I told @HYUFD some time ago (I think pre Truss) that there was zero chance of Farage returning to politics and he was a busted flush. He deserves crowing ri… (View Post)

As I mentioned earlier, if you take 3% off the CON figure and add it to REF (last YouGov numbers) you get a figure remarkably close to People Polling. So the idea that this poll is just too zany and … (View Post)

Baroness Holly Valance as Shadow Home Secretary? (View Post)

Re Reform voting. There are plenty of reasons as a generally centre-right voter I could not vote for them. These include: 1. The Trumpian-style approach to politics 2. Farage. 3. Their position on cl… (View Post)

Right now, I think they’ll get about 100-130. I think Sunak will keep his seat. It will be enough to keep the Tories going, but the result is going to make it really hard for them to meaningfully reb… (View Post)