If the Tories outpoll the LDs by 12% but only get 2 more seats I will, in the words of Paddy Ashdown, eat my hat. Baxter is pretty broken, IMHO. (View Post)

Why do I get the feeling the polls are going to start coalescing around 24-25 CON / 37-39 LAB… I may of course be proven to be very wrong very shortly. (View Post)

I think you can set internal guidelines for yourself. That is very important in a demanding job. I’m not sure as PM it’s the smartest thing to announce them. (View Post)

I’m glad someone has noted this. It feels like the latest Baxter model is very weighted towards very low Tory/very high Labour and LD seats. And also a relatively high REF seat count where I’m not co… (View Post)

Yup. US democracy is withering and dying before our eyes. (View Post)