As I mentioned earlier, if you take 3% off the CON figure and add it to REF (last YouGov numbers) you get a figure remarkably close to People Polling. So the idea that this poll is just too zany and … (View Post)

Baroness Holly Valance as Shadow Home Secretary? (View Post)

Re Reform voting. There are plenty of reasons as a generally centre-right voter I could not vote for them. These include: 1. The Trumpian-style approach to politics 2. Farage. 3. Their position on cl… (View Post)

Right now, I think they’ll get about 100-130. I think Sunak will keep his seat. It will be enough to keep the Tories going, but the result is going to make it really hard for them to meaningfully reb… (View Post)

The problem I have is there are too many MRP entrants this year, and it’s for an election which is very, very weird in terms of the skew of victory for one party and the battle for seats amongst the … (View Post)