Still not convinced Ukraine has dented Farage support but what it does do is probably lower that ceiling of support that he could potentially attract. He does have one - there are huge chunks of the … (View Post)

The polls are pointing to Reform not breaking through to supplant the Tories but causing them enough trouble to hobble them in the, roughly, low 20s. Potentially the worst of both worlds for the righ… (View Post)

Con -> Green is an interesting switch. I don’t see any evidence of a tremendous groundswell that way. What I do see is a splintering of the Tory electoral coalition. The professional middle classe… (View Post)

The debate doesn’t matter. The election is over. Starmer has won. Nothing that gets said in the debate will shift the dial to that degree. Look at the debates so far - nothing enlightening is gleaned… (View Post)

I honestly can’t think of a worse campaign by any party at any UK election, ever. This is a campaign that the Tories had complete control over the timing of. (View Post)