Well at some point we are going to find out how much Farage really wants power. Because as we approach an election he will need to be strategic on Reform’s positioning, particularly on the economics … (View Post)

If Reform do win the next GE, I very much hope it is not done on 30% of the vote. The fact Labour won a landslide majority on a historically small share of the vote is one (though not all) of the rea… (View Post)

2005 was a bit like 2024 as a bit of a lopsided victory (small popular vote share but large majority). I think Blair was flattered by the fact that the main opposition party had supported the war, an… (View Post)

Regarding the parties at the next GE, I think the Tories probably only really have one more roll of the dice or one black swan event to stand a chance of recovery. I do think that they are going to w… (View Post)

I am still quite surprised we’ve not seen some more Tory defections to Reform yet. I thought there’d have been 1 or 2 post locals. (View Post)