Yes it feels like it’s going to be like this for a while at least. The big question is whether Reform will manage keep up the momentum to surge into the lead in 2025, and if so whose vote they’ll can… (View Post)

Also while the Tories enjoy leads (however small) in some polls, Badenoch is safe right now. The same is true of Starmer. So talk of ditching leaders is exceptionally premature right now. If we see s… (View Post)

I don’t think anyone has really come up with a great formula to tackle the populist right in recent times. The closest thing to a spoiler tactic was seen in the French parliamentary election where th… (View Post)

I think she does struggle, though some of that comes from the fact that it’s very difficult for her to say anything at the moment that can’t be effectively countered with a “previous government nyer … (View Post)

I fully expect Reform to take the lead in some polls in the new year. On Farage becoming PM. Yes he absolutely can. I don’t think I’d put him as favourite. But it’s certainly a plausible outcome at t… (View Post)