I’m not sure previous campaigns are a brilliant pointer because the circumstances of each campaign is different. Biden ran three times (four if you count this year). He was only successful once. (View Post)

Doesn’t matter a jot at this stage and Starmer will never be more powerful than he is now. It might make all the difference if he has to manage a majority of say 20 in a few years time… (View Post)

If the polls hold like this then it’s going to come down to GOTV operation and a very, very tiny margin of votes across the states determining the outcome. If the polls stay like this, Harris is prob… (View Post)

Funny how constantly undermining your colleagues means you can’t get many people to support your leadership bid…. I expect she will flounce to Reform soon. (View Post)

Unless we see some big shifts in the coming days then I think we have to say Kamala is doing a bit better than Biden, but she is still behind. I think she has what it takes but I am not at this stage… (View Post)