We genuinely don’t know whether they are serious GE ones. That’s why I don’t think we can say Labour are structurally strong. If I were forced to guess, I would favour them to be largest party at the… (View Post)

Labour will be looking at their Australian counterparts for strategy in 2029. There are a lot of similarities between Starmer and Albanese - a first term government that was quickly unpopular, with a… (View Post)

Farage’s worst nightmare is probably a straight- talking figure of the left who combines centre-left economics with a bit of soft-nationalistic, protectionist flair. The only one in Labour who possib… (View Post)

My current thoughts on the Tory/Reform psychodrama: 1. It doesn't suit Farage to form any kind of alliance with the Tory Party. If the Tories had more stubbornly clung on in more affluent areas or Li… (View Post)

It’s a hugely important topic, but I remain unconvinced it will change a lot of votes. It should, but my guess is it won’t. Farage has also been savvier than Trump (it wouldn’t take much) in his mess… (View Post)