Plenty of reasons in the next 12 months to suggest that they could go higher. - unpopular budget - momentum from the 2026 locals/Wales/Scotland - possible economic/bond market turmoil - Tory leadersh… (View Post)

It is not often talked about now, but those few interviews he did on that topic at the time could also have had a disproportionate impact on his public standing. They happened exactly at the time whe… (View Post)

This feels more likely to me, right now, than a big Labour recovery. In fact if you were forcing me to guess the next government right now, I’d say it would be likely minority Labour with support fro… (View Post)

As always, wait and see with a poll with that kind of movement. Could be an outlier, could be people pulling back a bit from Farage/suffering from Reform + Flag etc fatigue. Simply need to wait for m… (View Post)

As I’ve mentioned before, far too much effort for Trump to challenge the 22nd Amendment and try to run again. Why bother when you can just run with a proxy candidate (probably one of the Trump clan) … (View Post)