The Tories can win without the red wall, but they need a message that resonates with a number of people they’ve pushed away from in recent years. Essentially, the professional classes, business owner… (View Post)

The government’s hand might be forced long before then if the Trump presidency does play hardball on trade and defence. The government may have to confront the elephant in the room that has been wait… (View Post)

Yes it feels like it’s going to be like this for a while at least. The big question is whether Reform will manage keep up the momentum to surge into the lead in 2025, and if so whose vote they’ll can… (View Post)

Also while the Tories enjoy leads (however small) in some polls, Badenoch is safe right now. The same is true of Starmer. So talk of ditching leaders is exceptionally premature right now. If we see s… (View Post)

I don’t think anyone has really come up with a great formula to tackle the populist right in recent times. The closest thing to a spoiler tactic was seen in the French parliamentary election where th… (View Post)