It will be a bit unhelpful for Starmer if white smoke comes today and knocks this super deal off the front pages… (Unless we’ve given something up that could cause backlash, in which case it might be… (View Post)

On topic, this is what I thought might happen. People are starting to see Reform leading the Tories, and a lot of the core vote might now be jumping across. Yes, there’ll be hold outs and never-Farag… (View Post)

It shows how all pervasive the immigration issue is in UK politics in that a positive story around a trade deal is derailed by the NI rates piece. This is another demonstration, if we needed one, tha… (View Post)

I would raise a counterpoint to that. Yes, the areas voting on Thursday tended to be areas the Tories traditionally do well in. They trend rural over urban. But we did not quite know that Reform woul… (View Post)

Labour have to accept that the WFA cut was a stupidly messaged and timed decision, and try and move on from it. Reversing it will do more damage, given all the political capital they’ve spent telling… (View Post)