Looks like a pretty smooth upward curve from the first polls after the election onwards to me. If the nation rallied, then they did it in a very orderly fashion, and with a large amount of foresight … (View Post)

I specifically said that 50% wasn't a baseline - agreeing that was ridiculous. You did however say that the honeymoon wasn't over, but in the very next post you're talking about "… (View Post)

Since they had a 20-25% lead just a few months ago. It's all relative. If there was an election tomorrow, then they might be happy, but instead it's honeymoon over, and heading for a major … (View Post)

The Lib Dem vote is almost exactly the same as it was in the month before Starmer took over - when the Tories had leads of over 20%. So, clearly a "swing from Lib Dems to Labour" isn't… (View Post)

It's high for a reason - looks plausible, and is the kind of odds that bookies like to stick in the windows before a match, but would be pretty unusual. Man City have played 56 games this season… (View Post)