The local lockdowns have been demonstrable failures. The national lockdown in April worked. (View Post)

I too am mystified. FiveThirtyEight give Biden a 98% chance of winning Virginia. It’s true that there haven’t been many polls, but that’s becuase no one expects it to be close. (View Post)

Another way to look at it, 538's model of Biden's chances is essentially a model of his chances of winning Pennsylvania. (View Post)

But can it really be turned around? The polls have been static all year despite a whole series of momentous events. What's going to change in the last 3 weeks, especially given that a large chun… (View Post)

May well be in prison along with Pops. (View Post)