That’s a good point . The interest is on Con defences . (View Post)

Adding together Tory and Reform votes as if a merger would see that total hold ignores the likely exit of some Tories to the Lib Dems . (View Post)

I suspect in seats where Labour is expected to easily win turnout will be poor . In more competitive seats I would expect much higher turnout . (View Post)

Labour might have suffered because of the narrative that it was a done deal . So the normal Green to Labour shift close to the election didn’t happen . (View Post)

The poll was published overnight . Labour 38 Con 20 Ref 17 Lib 12 Green 7 SNP 3 Fieldwork 1 to 3 July . So it’s just the Ipsos Mori I to come and that only includes those saying 10/10 certainty to vo… (View Post)