Err... 27 is closer to 25 than 30. (View Post)

Because there is a built in incumbency bias. (View Post)

Fine? Really? I agree that it is not impossible that someone might be homeless and also working, but it shows a gross lack of tact and situational awareness. Notwithstanding anything else, the lack o… (View Post)

In many ways, these "do you support the strikes" are essentially a proxy for "do you support the government" - with a small modifier for "to what extent do you believe you ar… (View Post)

I'm never quite sure what "should be" means. A year out from: GE2019, neck-and-neck (Large Gov win) GE2017, 10% Gov lead (Gov win) GE2015, <5% Opp lead (Gov win) GE2010 15% Opp lead… (View Post)