That's good news for Labour - it means their voters are still likely to be motivated to come out and vote for them. (View Post)

And no lessons have been learned from the Brexit debacle. On the other hand, the only real way to deal with the populist right is for the centre right to regain the centre from the centre left, and t… (View Post)

And they didn't have the weapons last year to degrade the Russian capability sufficiently. On the other hand, if they hadn't executed last summer's counter-offensive, this summer would have started f… (View Post)

It's the small party "holding the balance of power" fallacy. The true believers are confident they will over perform, leading to NOM, and handing them the keys to the castle. (View Post)

Yes. The LDs are getting a bit more visibility, and Labour seem secure enough (and the election near enough) for Lab supporters in appropriate constituencies to start telling pollsters that they *wil… (View Post)