This is the most relevant lesson from 1997. The finishing blow was Black Wednesday, but the mantra that eroded support was "cuts in the NHS". It was absolutely true that the Thatcher admini… (View Post)

It's been a while. Surely the nasty taste has gone by now? (View Post)

I don't think that's how these numbers play out. I think these headline VI numbers reflect the anti-Tory vote, not the individual constituency tactical unwind. (View Post)

That was an unexpected conversation stopper. (View Post)

That sheering off to the LDs question: it depends to what extent the not-Tory vote is actually anti-Tory. Because I can well imagine the headline numbers being slightly lower for Labour and slightly … (View Post)