mwadams
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Re: So far the polling’s not looking bad for LizT – politicalbetting.com
I'm not sure there is a significant "core liberal vote" for the LDs these days - not in the pre 1980 sense. I think I would substitute that with "a core social democrat vote, and a sma… (View Post)1 -
Re: Punters give Johnson a 5.4% chance of being PM at next election – politicalbetting.com
The ONS data on the debt GDP/ratio is quite instructive. It goes down from the mid 70s-79. Stabilises through the early and mid 80s, drops off dramatically in the 2-3 years prior to the 90s recession… (View Post)2 -
Re: What an extraordinary first week for PM Truss – politicalbetting.com
I don't see the end and the rebound happen before the next election, though. Even when the war ends, the sanctions will probably continue, and the strategic restructuring away from dependency on Russ… (View Post)1 -
Re: What’s King Charles going to say about fracking – politicalbetting.com
To be fair to them, there is a well-known psychological effect that, when confronted with the death of a public figure, a person can be quite badly affected for "no apparent reason" - usual… (View Post)1 -
Re: How the papers are treating LIz’s first day – politicalbetting.com
I think that's a pretty good summary - populist idealogues are a dreadful mix of hard left economics and hard right social, cultural and security policy. Their oppositions are usually equally dreadfu… (View Post)1
