Much is in flux. But I go on the reports that western aviation would be policing the skies within a week of a deal, and Merz’s comments. No doubt part of the optics will be Zelensky making way for Za… (View Post)

What’s the counterfactual? Keep fighting an endless attritional war against a country that has a population 3-4x your own and is essentially being bankrolled by China and India? And that has a seemin… (View Post)

Well yes. Most people would pick up a rifle to defend their families. There are a few out there but I’ve never met a Brit prepared to die for Ukrainian sovereignty over the Donbas. If a deal is struc… (View Post)

Looked at dispassionately, it’s obviously a deal the Ukrainians should take if it’s seriously on offer. Zelensky would bite your hand off if offered frozen lines and a security guarantee. Which of co… (View Post)

Hard to see how the war positively ends without Russia being seen to hold their heads high at home. Everyone needs to look through the egos and the optics and see what plays out (View Post)