The reports are they would be policing Ukrainian skies. There is a difference between enforcing a NFZ in an already hot conflict. And policing one in a deterrent capacity. But you already knew this o… (View Post)

Much is in flux. But I go on the reports that western aviation would be policing the skies within a week of a deal, and Merz’s comments. No doubt part of the optics will be Zelensky making way for Za… (View Post)

What’s the counterfactual? Keep fighting an endless attritional war against a country that has a population 3-4x your own and is essentially being bankrolled by China and India? And that has a seemin… (View Post)

Well yes. Most people would pick up a rifle to defend their families. There are a few out there but I’ve never met a Brit prepared to die for Ukrainian sovereignty over the Donbas. If a deal is struc… (View Post)

Looked at dispassionately, it’s obviously a deal the Ukrainians should take if it’s seriously on offer. Zelensky would bite your hand off if offered frozen lines and a security guarantee. Which of co… (View Post)