Most modelling starts at the end and works backwards to get the input assumptions. It’s then stressed within artificial bands but rarely with the correct combination with sufficiently vigorous assump… (View Post)

I agree with your conclusion. But when you have seen how these sorts of forecasts are created, it’s hilarious that anyone takes them seriously. The world of economic and financial modelling is a bunc… (View Post)

In the real world, multinationals have offices around the world and executives can often be placed in any number of them. I speak from experience that headhunters use flexibility of location as a key… (View Post)

When I google "Boris Johnson Bus" or "Boris Johnson Model" I get a bunch of blogs saying that he is trying to manipulate the internet by making odd public statements. I'd gue… (View Post)

And yet the Brady amendment passed easily. I’m not saying it’s likely the EU will reach agreement with the govt but if they do I reckon it’s locked on to pass. (View Post)