I’m sure a commentator as learned as you can recognise that the EC in 1975 was pretty different to the EU of 2019, as was the make up of the electorate. But good idea, I agree with you. Let’s say no … (View Post)

One has to wonder what Boris would have to do to please some of the supposed conservatives on here that have spent the last couple of months gleefully parading their own petulance. Seems to me Boris … (View Post)

You are not the only person who has experience with such modelling in esteemed organisations so perhaps you'd like to calm down a bit. I did not say Brexit has not harmed the UK economy or that … (View Post)

Most modelling starts at the end and works backwards to get the input assumptions. It’s then stressed within artificial bands but rarely with the correct combination with sufficiently vigorous assump… (View Post)

I agree with your conclusion. But when you have seen how these sorts of forecasts are created, it’s hilarious that anyone takes them seriously. The world of economic and financial modelling is a bunc… (View Post)