You are missing the real insight from the Iraq analogy though. No one said “let’s just give Saddam part of Kuwait to keep him in power”. His entire army was obliterated / chased back to the borders a… (View Post)

No. Next question. (View Post)

I have now read the blog post by the MIT physicist. By the way what qualifies him to talk about IR more than anyone else? The flaw in his maths is he assumes it’s “almost certain” that Russia losing … (View Post)

It’s not certain that losing the war means the end for Putin, he’s held such absolute power it will be difficult to arrange a coup. Attempting to use WMD guarantees his end. Because the order wouldn’… (View Post)

They didn’t nuke Afghanistan and they’re not going to nuke Ukraine either, for lots of very well rehearsed reasons. I do think we’ll be nostalgic for Putin before too long. When we have a bunch of nu… (View Post)