moonshine
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Re: Whoops – I nearly made an elementary mistake betting on a Senate Democratic majority – politicalbett
How are pollsters adjusting for what looks like a +60% turnout? I seem to recall much of the Brexit polling under counting leavers who hadn’t bothered voting for years. Presumably we should balance o… (View Post)1 -
Re: The battle for the White House – Trump’s fight to retain the female vote – politicalbetting.com
If we are going to make sweeping generalisations about age groups, I’d say that the baby boomer generation is the most selfish generation of all time. I wrote the other day about how QE has been weap… (View Post)5 -
Re: The states that will decide WH2020 – polling averages from the key battlegrounds – politicalbetting.
Get a grip. The virus has now infected well in excess of 100 million people worldwide and there are presently single digit numbers of recorded cases of reinfection. (View Post)1 -
Re: For all the talk in the past week of Biden landslide the spread betting markets have barely moved –
What is your goal? It’s worth noting that the proportion of ICU patients that die of covid has already reduced by about a third since March/April, due to quite simple tweaks in intervention. When we … (View Post)1 -
Re: New polling finds 44% prepared to pay more tax to cover costs of COVID19 – politicalbetting.com
It’s all straightforward really. Something is fundamentally broken with Western capitalism, with risk taking disincentivised, capital holders getting ever more capital and those relying on an income … (View Post)7