https://twitter.com/cricketwyvern/status/1404525333316001798 Sage central estimate is that not delaying would have caused 250k cases per day. So a small unlocking stage in Summer, with 80% of adults … (View Post)

Judging by the data just in for the 9th and 10th today, the quantum of extra data still to come is 1.1% of the existing total for the 11th, and 0.14% for the 10th - i.e. square root of **** all. (View Post)

Well the charts released tonight show that SAGE thinks anything less than 500 hospital admissions per day in 2 weeks time would be a 1 in 20 level outlier. I'm sure they'll receive loads of scrutiny … (View Post)

No idea what the comprison was in previous months, but the PHE data last week confirmed 2/3rds of people turning up at hospitals with covid right now are sent home the same day. (View Post)

Just to be clear - the 2/3rd of malingerers sent home don't count as a hospital admission, but it does paint a picture of a disease rather less terrifying that is often painted. I see the symptoms we… (View Post)