I just reread what I said and could see it could be misread as not believing you. I wasn't challenging the validity of what you said @HYUFD . I am sure it is accurate. I just couldn't work out why it… (View Post)
@No_Offence_Alan is correct. Work out the percentage if 1 in 100 has it, then 1 in 1000 has it, then 1 in 1,000,000 has it. The chances of you having it changes depending upon the number of people wh… (View Post)
I saw a Hannah Fry thing the other day on GPs not understanding probabilities. Here is the example: You have a test that is 100% accurate in giving a positive result, but 5% of the time it will give … (View Post)