In A we don't know the state of 1 apple. We know only one thing - that not all 3 apples are bad. This is not the same as knowing a specific apple is good (the B scenario). Re method of selection, it'… (View Post)

Yes. We have these apples cooked now, I think. (View Post)

Bart is considerably better on apples than on Israel. (View Post)

Ah but there's a difference because for B we have a specific apple picked at random that's good. This leaves the other 3 each of which has a 50% chance of being good. 1 + 0.5 + 0.5 + 0.5 gives expect… (View Post)

Child A is not saying a specific apple is good. He is offering info on the bag as a whole saying "at least one is good". This is the same as saying "not all my 3 apples are bad". … (View Post)