When a core part of the coalition you're seeking to build is white racists it shouldn't come as a massive surprise that you get a great big two fingers from Muslim voters. You can't ha… (View Post)

Wow. This one merits the hype. Terrible for Labour, disappointing but solid enough for Reform, given such a poor top-down carpetbagging choice of candidate, and truly spectacular for Polanski and the… (View Post)

I have the ominous combination of strong urge to bet plus no feel for where the value is. (View Post)

I think Polanski possibly benefits from being outside parliament at this point. You lose a chunk of 'outsider' cred as soon as your backside nestles into green leather in SW1. Could this be… (View Post)

I think the Greens have the most at stake in this by-election. It's expected they'll win it and if they do they've arrived. The Polanski polling surge isn't froth, it's real … (View Post)