There was one poster - sorry I forget the name - who predicted a 269-269 tie that not so long ago looked like being spot on (not just the final number, but every individual state race) except for NE2… (View Post)

One theory: Plenty of people aren't sufficiently politically engaged for either of those quotes to have made a huge impact on them. Plus you need to know the context, and reject the spin offered by h… (View Post)

What? You didn't project NE2 to Biden?Ignoramus! Seriously, that's impressive. You have every right to gloat. (View Post)

Nice calculation. For me too much of the 8% could be accounted for by correlations and un-in-the-bagness of the 238 (e.g. ABC still not projecting AZ) to bet off of it, but still very useful. (View Post)

Hmm, that might actually be a better bet than the EC winner one. At least if you think that vote-suppression in swing states could be a significant factor in the latter, which I admit may be paranoia… (View Post)