I'm sure that goes on, and there are examples I know of in sports betting but: Stephen Bush is apparently an associate editor at the Financial Times. Adam Bienkov also a legit journalist. Just t… (View Post)

Here's an interesting poll on how different people think Conservative and Labour policies are (Feb 24), which shows that on almost every issue Labour voters are more likely than Conservative vot… (View Post)

But we are talking about a votes that will either be close or not. If Khan wins by 25% then I will assume that it was never evens that he would lose, while you will think that there is no way of know… (View Post)

Well, obviously I'm not talking about mathematically proving something. I'm just curious about how people are calculating at what point a bet on Hall becomes value. And how they then check … (View Post)

I think I disagree. If you back Hall at 10-1 and the bet wins, I think you can be fairly sure that it was value. Much surer than finding a punter who has made a profit and saying that therefore their… (View Post)