My guess is most Reform voters are very keen on a change of government. They might not like Labour, but they definitely don't want another 5 years of this Conservative government. So it's a waste of … (View Post)

Or worse - there's been a calculation that it will help them in some seats to let people know Starmer's wife is Jewish? Unlikely, I admit, but you'd think that Sunak was aware of the Jewish angle. (View Post)

I think she could surprise on the up side (View Post)

I guess it depends on who's picking the replacement. I mean it's not as if they will rerun primaries. I imagine some donors quite like him, if they can convince themselves he's got a better chance ag… (View Post)

What is striking is how well Trump support holds up: 46-48% against anyone, known or unknown. But yes, as I said, plenty of potential to do better (or worse) than Biden. (View Post)