justin124
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On Betfair Ed Davey’s odds of winning the LD leadership are ti
I am not sure that the comparison with Kinnock is entirely valid here. His predecessor - Michael Foot - had been elected by the PLP in November 1980. In no sense was he foisted on MPs by an Electoral… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Will the Conservatives increase their majority at the next ele
I imagine that October 2024 is the latest likely date for the next election - with May the same year also being pretty likely. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Will the Conservatives increase their majority at the next ele
The Tory lead in vote share in 2019 matched almost exactly the 1987 GB margin of 11.8%. The latter year saw a majority of 102 which fell to 21 in 1992 . Moreover, had Kinnock avoided campaign misteps… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Scottish play. Will Wales follow Scotland and abandon Labo
In 2010 a Tory lead of 7% failed by some margin to deliver a majority. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A CON majority drops out of the GE2019 betting favourite slot
Onn voted for the Second Reading, I believe. (View Post)1