In reality 323 seats would be enough for Johnson to continue , but I would also expect losses to SNP and LDs which would probably take them below 315. I also believe that Labour gains in 1992 could h… (View Post)

Nothing inevitable about that in 1992. Despite the Sheffield rally and the ousting of Thatcher Labour gained 42 seats compared with 1987. (View Post)

Not 10 months into a Parliament following an election in which incumbent was re-elected with a big majority. Did not happen post -1959 - 1966 - 1983 - 1987 - 1997 -2001. Starmer is outperforming Gait… (View Post)

Not so. 53% - 47% is a far from decisive margin - particularly when it relates to an extended period of daily party political coverage for Nicola Sturgeon. It is also unclear from the Holyrood poll t… (View Post)

Until 1992 California usually voted Republican at Presidential Elections. Perhaps the population shifts referred to will eventually bring the state back into play. (View Post)